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Why energy shock from Iran war has not spread to food

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Why energy shock from Iran war has not spread to food

In July 11, 2008, when Brent crude prices hit an all-time-high of $147.5 a barrel, the world experienced not just fuel inflation.
No less painful was global food inflation, which – based on the annual increase in the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization’s Food Price Index – ruled at double-digits for 22 months in a row from November 2006 to August 2008, averaging 34.8% for that period.
It was the same during the oil shock following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in late-February 2022. Brent crude went as high as $139.13 per barrel on March 7, 2022. Then too, elevated global oil prices were accompanied by double-digit inflation in the FAO index for 19 consecutive months from January 2021 to July 2022 and averaging 26.8% year-on-year.

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